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Caleb Williams card

Caleb Williams

#1 - Chicago Bears

2024 National Treasures Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$881.15
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $7000.00
Price Range
32
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
10 sales tracked
Mar 16Mar 16Mar 16Mar 16Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 21Mar 21Mar 23$-73$177$427$803
$0
Low
$881
Average
$730
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
CALEB WILLIAMS 2025 PANINI NATIONAL TREASURES #ST-CWS SUNDAY JERSEY PATCH 60/99$0.003/16/2026View
2024 National Treasures Caleb Williams PURPLE ROOKIE RC #'D 10/75 #18 PSA 9 Rare$0.003/16/2026View
2024 NATIONAL TREASURES FRAMED FABRICS #CWS CALEB WILLIAMS RC 19/49 PSA 8$0.003/16/2026View
2024 Panini National Treasure Caleb Williams #/99 Century Materials Patch RC$130.003/15/2026View
2024 Panini National Treasure Caleb Williams CWS /99$126.953/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,546 (81.1%)
BGS: 360 (18.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,546
Total Graded
324
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
556
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
324
21.0%
PSA 9
556
36.0%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
81
5.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
360
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
82
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
82
22.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
125
34.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
43
11.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
46
12.8%
BGS 7.5-
55
15.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,104
$828-$1656
BGS 10
$552
$414-$690
BGS 9.5
$276
$207-$345
BGS 9
$166
$138-$207
BGS 8.5
$124
$97-$152
BGS 8
$97
$69-$124

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
398
Total Graded
55
SGC 10 (Pristine)
87
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
55(13.8%)
SGC 9.5
87(21.9%)
SGC 9
147(36.9%)
SGC 8.5
55(13.8%)
SGC 8
47(11.8%)
SGC 7-
7(1.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$1079
Expected Value
$308 - $1322
Value Range
+$441
Potential Gain
-$573
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$59
Total Cost
$1343
Expected Value
+$403
Expected Profit
+43%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$9
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$3084
+$2144
PSA 9
35%
$1586
+$646
PSA 8
35%
$1145
+$205
PSA 7
18%
$969
+$29
PSA 6
7%
$837
$-103
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 43%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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