Patrick Mahomes
#3 - Kansas City Chiefs
2024 National Treasures Football (2024)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$185.23
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $1800.00
Price Range
26
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
4 sales tracked$0
Low
$185
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Panini National Treasures Patrick Mahomes II Heirlooms Patch #/49 Chiefs | $0.00 | 3/19/2026 | View |
| 2024 National Treasures #48 Patrick Mahomes II Baseball Chiefs | $46.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| PATRICK MAHOMES II 2025 NATIONAL TREASURES #ST-PMS SUNDAY DUAL PATCH 64/99 | $0.00 | 3/18/2026 | View |
| 2024 Panini National Treasures Collegiate Patrick Mahomes II Texas Tech Blue /75 | $70.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| PATRICK MAHOMES II 2024 NATIONAL TREASURES FOOTBALL PURPLE CHIEFS 42/75 | $66.00 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,546 (80.5%)
BGS: 374 (19.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,546
Total Graded
324
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
633
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
324
21.0%
PSA 9
633
40.9%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
4
0.3%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
374
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
98
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
3.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
98
26.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
144
38.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
58
15.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
46
12.3%
BGS 7.5-
14
3.7%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,280
$960-$1920
BGS 10
$640
$480-$800
BGS 9.5
$320
$240-$400
BGS 9
$192
$160-$240
BGS 8.5
$144
$112-$176
BGS 8
$112
$80-$144
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
422
Total Graded
60
SGC 10 (Pristine)
84
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
60(14.2%)
SGC 9.5
84(19.9%)
SGC 9
177(41.9%)
SGC 8.5
50(11.8%)
SGC 8
48(11.4%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$227
Expected Value
$65 - $278
Value Range
+$93
Potential Gain
-$120
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$282
Expected Value
+$42
Expected Profit
+17%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$648
+$408
PSA 9
35%
$333
+$93
PSA 8
35%
$241
+$1
PSA 7
18%
$204
$-36
PSA 6
7%
$176
$-64
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 17%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.