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Josh Allen card

Josh Allen

#4 - Buffalo Bills

2024 National Treasures Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$516.70
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $7500.00
Price Range
20
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
3 sales tracked
Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18$-10$-5$0$5$10
$0
Low
$517
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
JOSH ALLEN 2024 NATIONAL TREASURES TREMENDOUS PATCH BILLS /99 Q5347$0.003/17/2026View
2025 Panini National Treasures Josh Allen Tremendous Patch #/99 Bills$0.003/16/2026View
2024 National Treasures Josh Allen Tremendous Treasures Patch Number Match /99$99.993/15/2026View
2024 Panini National Treasures Collegiate Silhouettes Josh Allen 14/99 (MEM)$100.003/15/2026View
Josh Allen 2024 Panini National Treasures #10 Jersey Number /17 Buffalo Bills$124.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 546 (58.9%)
BGS: 381 (41.1%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
546
Total Graded
114
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
196
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
114
20.9%
PSA 9
196
35.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.9%
PSA 8
65
11.9%
PSA 7
54
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
31
5.7%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
381
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
107
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
3.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
107
28.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
154
40.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
46
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
39
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
21
5.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,368
$1026-$2052
BGS 10
$684
$513-$855
BGS 9.5
$342
$257-$428
BGS 9
$205
$171-$257
BGS 8.5
$154
$120-$188
BGS 8
$120
$86-$154

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
431
Total Graded
52
SGC 10 (Pristine)
97
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
52(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
97(22.5%)
SGC 9
156(36.2%)
SGC 8.5
62(14.4%)
SGC 8
48(11.1%)
SGC 7-
16(3.7%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$633
Expected Value
$181 - $775
Value Range
+$258
Potential Gain
-$336
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$788
Expected Value
+$216
Expected Profit
+38%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1808
+$1236
PSA 9
35%
$930
+$358
PSA 8
35%
$672
+$100
PSA 7
18%
$568
$-4
PSA 6
7%
$491
$-81
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 38%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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