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Leon Draisaitl card

Leon Draisaitl

#1 - Edmonton Oilers

2024-25 SP Authentic Hockey (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$2.36
Avg Sale Price
$0.72 - $10.93
Price Range
26
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 SP AUTHENTIC Base Cards #1-100 Take Your Pick - Buy 3, Get 2 Free!$0.993/15/2026View
2024-25 SP AUTHENTIC HOCKEY BASE CARDS FROM #1-100 PICK THE ONES YOU WANT$1.253/15/2026View
2024-25 SP Authentic Hockey - BASE - (#1-100) * YOU PICK FROM LIST *NM$0.723/15/2026View
2024-25 SP Authentic Collaborations Insert BASE, BLUE & GREEN **U Pick List**$1.093/15/2026View
2024-25 SP Authentic Maximum Performance BASE, BLUE & GREEN **U Pick List**$1.093/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,573 (78%)
BGS: 444 (22%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,573
Total Graded
283
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
755
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
283
18.0%
PSA 9
755
48.0%
PSA 8.5
125
7.9%
PSA 8
188
12.0%
PSA 7
157
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-60
-3.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
444
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
132
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
29.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
132
29.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
159
35.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
57
12.8%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
48
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
33
7.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$960
$720-$1440
BGS 10
$480
$360-$600
BGS 9.5
$240
$180-$300
BGS 9
$144
$120-$180
BGS 8.5
$108
$84-$132
BGS 8
$84
$60-$108

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
530
Total Graded
63
SGC 10 (Pristine)
126
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
63(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
126(23.8%)
SGC 9
185(34.9%)
SGC 8.5
68(12.8%)
SGC 8
61(11.5%)
SGC 7-
27(5.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$3
Expected Value
$1 - $4
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$4
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-93%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$8
$-49
PSA 9
35%
$4
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -93%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Leon Draisaitl PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.