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Connor Bedard card

Connor Bedard

#3 - Chicago Blackhawks

2024-25 The Cup Hockey (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1108.48
Avg Sale Price
$44.24 - $2800.00
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Run for the Cup 18/99 Connor Bedard #RUN-CB 1q2$44.243/15/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck Black Diamond Run for the Cup 69/99 Connor Bedard #RUN-CB 1q2$53.153/15/2026View
2024 UD BLACK DIAMOND RUN FOR THE CUP #RUNCB CONNOR BEDARD 7/99 PSA 8$145.003/15/2026View
2024 THE CUP CONNOR BEDARD 2023 ROOKIE HONORABLE NUMBERS DUAL PATCH AUTO /98 RC$2500.003/15/2026View
2024 The Cup Connor Bedard Rookie 2023 Update Honorable Numbers Auto /98 #HR-CB$2800.003/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,582 (76.5%)
BGS: 486 (23.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,582
Total Graded
268
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
664
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
268
16.9%
PSA 9
664
42.0%
PSA 8.5
126
8.0%
PSA 8
189
11.9%
PSA 7
158
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
51
3.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
486
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
133
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
3.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
133
27.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
176
36.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
64
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
49
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
46
9.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,488
$1116-$2232
BGS 10
$744
$558-$930
BGS 9.5
$372
$279-$465
BGS 9
$223
$186-$279
BGS 8.5
$167
$130-$205
BGS 8
$130
$93-$167

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
607
Total Graded
77
SGC 10 (Pristine)
145
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
77(12.7%)
SGC 9.5
145(23.9%)
SGC 9
239(39.4%)
SGC 8.5
82(13.5%)
SGC 8
61(10%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$1358
Expected Value
$388 - $1663
Value Range
+$554
Potential Gain
-$721
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$61
Total Cost
$1690
Expected Value
+$521
Expected Profit
+45%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$11
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$3880
+$2711
PSA 9
35%
$1995
+$826
PSA 8
35%
$1441
+$272
PSA 7
18%
$1219
+$50
PSA 6
7%
$1053
$-116
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 45%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

No active predictions for this card yet

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Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.