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Matthew Tkachuk card

Matthew Tkachuk

#4 - Florida Panthers

2024-25 Upper Deck Ice Hockey (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.11
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $1.95
Price Range
50
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
1 sales tracked
Mar 20$-10$-5$0$5$10Avg: $1
$0
Low
$1
Average
$0
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 SP Authentic Matthew Tkachuk - Florida Panthers #25 Base$0.003/20/2026View
2024-25 TIM HORTON'S 10th Edition Base - Finish Your Set - U Pick FREE SHIPPING$0.723/15/2026View
24-25 2024-25 OPC Base Cards U-PICK Complete your Set (1-250)$0.993/15/2026View
24-25 2024-25 Allure Base Set W/ROOKIES U-PICK Complete your Set (1-150)$0.993/15/2026View
2024-25 Upper Deck MVP Hockey Base & SPs #1-250 Complete Your Set You Pick Card$0.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 591 (53.1%)
BGS: 521 (46.9%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
591
Total Graded
94
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
242
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
94
15.9%
PSA 9
242
40.9%
PSA 8.5
47
8.0%
PSA 8
70
11.8%
PSA 7
59
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
32
5.4%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
521
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
125
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
11
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
125
24.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
183
35.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
63
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
58
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
79
15.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$728
$546-$1092
BGS 10
$364
$273-$455
BGS 9.5
$182
$137-$228
BGS 9
$109
$91-$137
BGS 8.5
$82
$64-$100
BGS 8
$64
$46-$82

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
651
Total Graded
79
SGC 10 (Pristine)
151
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
79(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
151(23.2%)
SGC 9
243(37.3%)
SGC 8.5
84(12.9%)
SGC 8
74(11.4%)
SGC 7-
20(3.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$1
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$4
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$1
$-55
PSA 7
18%
$1
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Matthew Tkachuk PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.