Back to Search
Josh Allen card

Josh Allen

#2 - Buffalo Bills

2024 Select Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.16
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $2.00
Price Range
50
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Panini Select Football Base, Complete Your Set #1-300 (PLEASE ORDER 4+)$0.993/15/2026View
2023 Panini Select Base, Pick Your Card, SHIPS FREE! Updated 2/9!$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Panini Select Base! Pick Your Card, SHIPS FREE! Updated 12/6!$0.993/15/2026View
2024 Panini Select Premier Level Football Base Singles You Pick! Rc & Vet$1.253/15/2026View
2024 Select Football BASE 1-200 with Rookies You Pick - 2 Card Minimum$1.403/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 618 (48.3%)
BGS: 661 (51.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
618
Total Graded
142
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
265
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
142
23.0%
PSA 9
265
42.9%
PSA 8.5
49
7.9%
PSA 8
74
12.0%
PSA 7
61
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-22
-3.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
661
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
143
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
143
21.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
252
38.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
80
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
77
11.6%
BGS 7.5-
86
13.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,288
$966-$1932
BGS 10
$644
$483-$805
BGS 9.5
$322
$242-$403
BGS 9
$193
$161-$242
BGS 8.5
$145
$113-$177
BGS 8
$113
$81-$145

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
272
Total Graded
33
SGC 10 (Pristine)
55
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
33(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
55(20.2%)
SGC 9
120(44.1%)
SGC 8.5
33(12.1%)
SGC 8
28(10.3%)
SGC 7-
3(1.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$1
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$4
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$1
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Josh Allen PSA 10 average sale price increase by 15%+ in the next 30 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in