Joe Burrow
#4 - Cincinnati Bengals
2024 Select Football (2024)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$1.21
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $2.09
Price Range
50
Recent Sales
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Panini Select Football Base, Complete Your Set #1-300 (PLEASE ORDER 4+) | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Panini Select Base! Pick Your Card, SHIPS FREE! Updated 12/6! | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Panini NFL Select Base #1-300 Concourse, Premier, & Club Level - VETs & RC | $0.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Select Football BASE 1-200 with Rookies You Pick - 2 Card Minimum | $1.10 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Panini Select Premier Level Football Base Singles You Pick! Rc & Vet | $1.25 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 618 (47.8%)
BGS: 675 (52.2%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
618
Total Graded
142
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
296
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
142
23.0%
PSA 9
296
47.9%
PSA 8.5
49
7.9%
PSA 8
74
12.0%
PSA 7
61
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-53
-8.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
675
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
160
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
160
23.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
271
40.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
96
14.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
77
11.4%
BGS 7.5-
51
7.6%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,464
$1098-$2196
BGS 10
$732
$549-$915
BGS 9.5
$366
$275-$458
BGS 9
$220
$183-$275
BGS 8.5
$165
$128-$201
BGS 8
$128
$92-$165
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
320
Total Graded
38
SGC 10 (Pristine)
81
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
38(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
81(25.3%)
SGC 9
115(35.9%)
SGC 8.5
43(13.4%)
SGC 8
40(12.5%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$1
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$4
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$1
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55
Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.