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Caleb Williams RC card

Caleb Williams RC

#20 - Chicago Bears

2024 Select Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.57
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $3.99
Price Range
50
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
0.0%
2 sales tracked
Mar 16Mar 16$-6.01$-1.01$3.99$8.99$13.99Avg: $2
$4
Low
$2
Average
$4
High
0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Panini Select Football Caleb Williams #25 Concourse Level Base RC Bears$0.993/15/2026View
2020-2025 Chicago Bears - Base, Inserts, Rookies + More - You Pick$1.253/15/2026View
2024 Panini Select Football Caleb Williams #25 Concourse Level Base RC Bears$1.003/15/2026View
Caleb Williams 2024 Panini Select #25 Concourse Base RC Chicago Bears$1.493/15/2026View
2024 Panini Select Football Caleb Williams #25 Concourse Base RC - Bears$1.503/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 618 (46.3%)
BGS: 717 (53.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
618
Total Graded
142
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
296
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
142
23.0%
PSA 9
296
47.9%
PSA 8.5
49
7.9%
PSA 8
74
12.0%
PSA 7
61
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-53
-8.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
717
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
160
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
160
22.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
287
40.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
103
14.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
78
10.9%
BGS 7.5-
66
9.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$792
$594-$1188
BGS 10
$396
$297-$495
BGS 9.5
$198
$149-$248
BGS 9
$119
$99-$149
BGS 8.5
$89
$69-$109
BGS 8
$69
$50-$89

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
386
Total Graded
52
SGC 10 (Pristine)
100
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
52(13.5%)
SGC 9.5
100(25.9%)
SGC 9
134(34.7%)
SGC 8.5
57(14.8%)
SGC 8
40(10.4%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$2
Expected Value
$1 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-55
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$5
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-55
PSA 7
18%
$2
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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