Patrick Mahomes
#1 - Kansas City Chiefs
2024 Topps Chrome Football (2024)
BaseUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$3.66
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $8.00
Price Range
6
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$4
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Topps Chrome FOOTBALL - PATRICK MAHOMES - Base #148 - CHIEFS | $0.00 | 5/4/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome Football Card (YOU PICK) Base Veterans #1-250 NFL | $0.99 | 5/1/2026 | View |
| Topps Chrome 25-26 Patrick Mahomes II #148 Base Set Kansas City Chiefs NFL | $2.00 | 5/1/2026 | View |
| Jayden Daniels Rookie Card 2024 Topps Chrome Base #201 Washington Commanders | $5.99 | 5/1/2026 | View |
| 2025 Topps Chrome Patrick Mahomes II Kansas City Chiefs Base Set #148 | $8.00 | 5/1/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,636 (65.8%)
BGS: 850 (34.2%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,636
Total Graded
343
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
752
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
343
21.0%
PSA 9
752
46.0%
PSA 8.5
130
7.9%
PSA 8
196
12.0%
PSA 7
163
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-78
-4.8%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
850
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
170
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
170
20.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
307
36.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
90
10.6%
BGS 7.5-
146
17.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,264
$948-$1896
BGS 10
$632
$474-$790
BGS 9.5
$316
$237-$395
BGS 9
$190
$158-$237
BGS 8.5
$142
$111-$174
BGS 8
$111
$79-$142
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
583
Total Graded
86
SGC 10 (Pristine)
141
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
86(14.8%)
SGC 9.5
141(24.2%)
SGC 9
206(35.3%)
SGC 8.5
81(13.9%)
SGC 8
66(11.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$4
Expected Value
$1 - $5
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$6
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-90%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$13
$-46
PSA 9
35%
$7
$-52
PSA 8
35%
$5
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$4
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$3
$-56
Negative expected ROI of -90%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.