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Patrick Mahomes card

Patrick Mahomes

#1 - Kansas City Chiefs

2024 Topps Chrome Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$0.99
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $0.99
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Topps Chrome Football Singles - Pick A Card - Rookie, Parallel, Base 🔥🏈$0.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,636 (65.8%)
BGS: 850 (34.2%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,636
Total Graded
343
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
752
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
343
21.0%
PSA 9
752
46.0%
PSA 8.5
130
7.9%
PSA 8
196
12.0%
PSA 7
163
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-78
-4.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
850
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
170
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
170
20.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
307
36.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
90
10.6%
BGS 7.5-
146
17.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,264
$948-$1896
BGS 10
$632
$474-$790
BGS 9.5
$316
$237-$395
BGS 9
$190
$158-$237
BGS 8.5
$142
$111-$174
BGS 8
$111
$79-$142

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
583
Total Graded
86
SGC 10 (Pristine)
141
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
86(14.8%)
SGC 9.5
141(24.2%)
SGC 9
206(35.3%)
SGC 8.5
81(13.9%)
SGC 8
66(11.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$1
Expected Value
$0 - $1
Value Range
+$0
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
Calculating ROI...
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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