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Justin Jefferson card

Justin Jefferson

#12 - Minnesota Vikings

2024 Topps Chrome Football (2024)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.25
Avg Sale Price
$1.25 - $1.25
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024 Topps Chrome Football - - Base/Inserts/X-Factors /Prizm Complete Your Set$1.253/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 636 (41.4%)
BGS: 899 (58.6%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
636
Total Graded
133
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
260
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
133
20.9%
PSA 9
260
40.9%
PSA 8.5
50
7.9%
PSA 8
76
11.9%
PSA 7
63
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
4
0.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
899
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
228
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
20
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
228
25.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
333
37.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
126
14.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
98
10.9%
BGS 7.5-
90
10.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$680
$510-$1020
BGS 10
$340
$255-$425
BGS 9.5
$170
$128-$213
BGS 9
$102
$85-$128
BGS 8.5
$77
$59-$94
BGS 8
$59
$43-$77

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
645
Total Graded
92
SGC 10 (Pristine)
144
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
92(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
144(22.3%)
SGC 9
240(37.2%)
SGC 8.5
77(11.9%)
SGC 8
67(10.4%)
SGC 7-
25(3.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$2
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$4
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$1
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Justin Jefferson BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in