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Connor Bedard YG card

Connor Bedard YG

#12 - Chicago Blackhawks

2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 (2025)

Base

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$7.89
Avg Sale Price
$5.63 - $12.30
Price Range
17
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-32.1%
17 sales tracked
Jan 19Jan 22Jan 27Jan 30Feb 5Feb 10Feb 14Feb 14Feb 17Feb 21Feb 25Feb 25Feb 28Mar 4Mar 5Mar 7Mar 8$4.963$7.963$12.967Avg: $8
$6
Low
$8
Average
$12
High
-3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 Connor Bedard YG Base$5.633/8/2026View
2025 2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 Connor Bedard YG Base$7.873/7/2026View
2025 2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 Connor Bedard YG Base SGC 10$10.233/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 Connor Bedard YG Base$6.793/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Upper Deck Series 2 Connor Bedard YG Base$5.762/28/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 653 (69.9%)
BGS: 281 (30.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
653
Total Graded
117
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
313
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
117
17.9%
PSA 9
313
47.9%
PSA 8.5
52
8.0%
PSA 8
78
11.9%
PSA 7
65
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-24
-3.7%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
281
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
87
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
31.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
1.1%
BGS 10(Pristine)
6
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
87
31.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
99
35.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
34
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
39
13.9%
BGS 7.5-
13
4.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$568
$426-$852
BGS 10
$284
$213-$355
BGS 9.5
$142
$107-$178
BGS 9
$85
$71-$107
BGS 8.5
$64
$50-$78
BGS 8
$50
$36-$64

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
331
Total Graded
40
SGC 10 (Pristine)
67
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
40(12.1%)
SGC 9.5
67(20.2%)
SGC 9
136(41.1%)
SGC 8.5
40(12.1%)
SGC 8
34(10.3%)
SGC 7-
14(4.2%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$10
Expected Value
$3 - $12
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$5
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$12
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-81%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$28
$-35
PSA 9
35%
$14
$-49
PSA 8
35%
$10
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$9
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$7
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -81%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Connor Bedard PSA 10 population hit a new milestone (next 100 threshold) within 45 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Will Connor Bedard BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

Live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi for NHL events that may impact card values.

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.