SOCCER
Jude Bellingham
#1 - Real Madrid
2024 Panini Select La Liga (2024)
Gold Prizm /10Model A: Deterministic
Print Run10
Verified Sightings8
Publicly Remaining2
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)30%
P(Still Unpulled)97.9%
Expected Remaining1.7
Confidence Score
High (76/100)
Coverage: 40 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 6
$155.88
Avg Sale Price
$140.78 - $166.07
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Panini Select La Liga Jude Bellingham Gold Prizm #/50 | $153.83 | 1/23/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Panini Select La Liga Jude Bellingham Gold Prizm #/50 | $154.69 | 1/11/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Panini Select La Liga Jude Bellingham Gold Prizm #/50 | $140.78 | 12/25/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Panini Select La Liga Jude Bellingham Gold Prizm #/50 | $155.35 | 12/24/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Panini Select La Liga Jude Bellingham Gold Prizm #/50 | $157.28 | 12/23/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 556 (45.7%)
BGS: 661 (54.3%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
556
Total Graded
116
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
227
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
116
20.9%
PSA 9
227
40.8%
PSA 8.5
44
7.9%
PSA 8
66
11.9%
PSA 7
55
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
4
0.7%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
661
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
143
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
143
21.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
252
38.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
80
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
77
11.6%
BGS 7.5-
86
13.0%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,288
$966-$1932
BGS 10
$644
$483-$805
BGS 9.5
$322
$242-$403
BGS 9
$193
$161-$242
BGS 8.5
$145
$113-$177
BGS 8
$113
$81-$145
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
271
Total Graded
33
SGC 10 (Pristine)
55
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
33(12.2%)
SGC 9.5
55(20.3%)
SGC 9
115(42.4%)
SGC 8.5
33(12.2%)
SGC 8
28(10.3%)
SGC 7-
7(2.6%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$191
Expected Value
$55 - $234
Value Range
+$78
Potential Gain
-$101
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$238
Expected Value
+$27
Expected Profit
+13%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$546
+$335
PSA 9
35%
$281
+$70
PSA 8
35%
$203
$-8
PSA 7
18%
$171
$-40
PSA 6
7%
$148
$-63
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 13%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.