MLB
Freddie Freeman
#200 - Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Orange Refractor /25Model A: Deterministic
Print Run25
Verified Sightings7
Publicly Remaining18
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining14.5
Confidence Score
Medium (65/100)
Coverage: 28 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$49.92
Avg Sale Price
$35.59 - $63.98
Price Range
11
Recent Sales
Price History (Last 60 Days)
- Average
- Sale Price
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Freddie Freeman Orange Refractor #/50 | $60.86 | 1/4/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Freddie Freeman Orange Refractor #/50 | $63.98 | 1/3/2026 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Freddie Freeman Orange Refractor #/50 | $46.19 | 12/21/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Freddie Freeman Orange Refractor #/50 | $60.34 | 12/18/2025 | View |
| 2024 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball Freddie Freeman Orange Refractor #/50 | $35.59 | 12/10/2025 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 503 (63.7%)
BGS: 287 (36.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
503
Total Graded
90
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
216
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
90
17.9%
PSA 9
216
42.9%
PSA 8.5
40
8.0%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
7
1.4%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
287
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
72
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
10
3.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
72
25.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
123
42.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
41
14.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
35
12.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.7%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,160
$870-$1740
BGS 10
$580
$435-$725
BGS 9.5
$290
$218-$363
BGS 9
$174
$145-$218
BGS 8.5
$131
$102-$160
BGS 8
$102
$73-$131
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
257
Total Graded
35
SGC 10 (Pristine)
66
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
35(13.6%)
SGC 9.5
66(25.7%)
SGC 9
89(34.6%)
SGC 8.5
30(11.7%)
SGC 8
34(13.2%)
SGC 7-
3(1.2%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$61
Expected Value
$17 - $75
Value Range
+$25
Potential Gain
-$32
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$76
Expected Value
$-29
Expected Profit
-28%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$175
+$70
PSA 9
35%
$90
$-15
PSA 8
35%
$65
$-40
PSA 7
18%
$55
$-50
PSA 6
7%
$47
$-58
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Negative expected ROI of -28%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.