MLB
Bryce Harper
#225 - Philadelphia Phillies
2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (2024)
Gold Refractor /50Cards Remaining
Good availability
50
Total Print Run
4
Documented
46
Still Available
4 seen (8.0%)46 remaining (92.0%)
4 of 50 copies have been documented.
46 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run50
Verified Sightings4
Publicly Remaining46
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)32%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining34.0
Confidence Score
Medium (45/100)
Coverage: 8 | Sources: 30 | Maturity: 7
$102.67
Avg Sale Price
$0.00 - $375.00
Price Range
30
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data0.0%
1 sales tracked$0
Low
$103
Average
$0
High
0
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Topps Heritage: #1-725 Chrome Purple Refractor "Pick a Card" UPDATED 1/26 | $2.37 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome Baseball (AUTOS & NUMBERED PARALLELS) BUY 3 GET 1 - You Pick | $19.95 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Heritage Bryce Harper Josh Donaldson Chrome Gold Refractor #/5 PSA 9 | $0.00 | 3/16/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Chrome Inserts Autos X-Refractor Pink Prism Sepia Raywave - U-PICK | $24.75 | 3/15/2026 | View |
| 2024 Topps Allen & Ginter Gold Chrome Numbered /50 #60 - Bryce Harper | $39.99 | 3/15/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,502 (83.1%)
BGS: 306 (16.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,502
Total Graded
255
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
555
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
255
17.0%
PSA 9
555
37.0%
PSA 8.5
120
8.0%
PSA 8
180
12.0%
PSA 7
150
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
122
8.1%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
306
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
81
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
81
26.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
132
43.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
49
16.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
28
9.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.6%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,248
$936-$1872
BGS 10
$624
$468-$780
BGS 9.5
$312
$234-$390
BGS 9
$187
$156-$234
BGS 8.5
$140
$109-$172
BGS 8
$109
$78-$140
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
309
Total Graded
47
SGC 10 (Pristine)
79
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
47(15.2%)
SGC 9.5
79(25.6%)
SGC 9
104(33.7%)
SGC 8.5
42(13.6%)
SGC 8
34(11%)
SGC 7-
3(1%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$126
Expected Value
$36 - $154
Value Range
+$51
Potential Gain
-$67
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$156
Expected Value
$-2
Expected Profit
-1%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$359
+$201
PSA 9
35%
$185
+$27
PSA 8
35%
$133
$-25
PSA 7
18%
$113
$-45
PSA 6
7%
$98
$-60
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Negative expected ROI of -1%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.