Erling Haaland

Name: Erling Haaland - 2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Refractor
Brand: Topps
SKU: SLABDEX-90026

#1 - Manchester City

2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2025)

Refractor

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

copies documented so far

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered

Verified Sightings0

Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)

Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

LIVE

$43.43

Avg Sale Price

$14.00 - $72.86

Price Range

Recent Sales

Title	Price	Date	Link
2024-25 Topps Chrome Merlin Mojo Refractor Erling Haaland buyback	$14.00	3/15/2026	View
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Soccer Brush Refractor Erling Haaland Case Hit 1:280pk	$72.86	3/15/2026	View

Grading Service Comparison

PSA

BGS

PSA: 502 (38.7%)

BGS: 795 (61.3%)

Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data

502

Total Graded

PSA 10 (Gem Mint)

210

PSA 9 (Mint)

16.9%

PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10

16.9%

PSA 9

210

41.8%

PSA 8.5

8.0%

PSA 8

12.0%

PSA 7

10.0%

PSA 6 & Below

3.4%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10

$175

PSA 9

$90

PSA 8

$60

PSA 7

$50

PSA 6

$40

Auth

$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data

795

Total Graded

BGS 10 (Black Label)

204

BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)

25.7%

BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)

0.4%

BGS 10(Pristine)

2.3%

BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)

204

25.7%

BGS 9(Mint)

313

39.4%

BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)

110

13.8%

BGS 8(NM-MT)

9.9%

BGS 7.5-

8.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL

$1,544

$1158-$2316

BGS 10

$772

$579-$965

BGS 9.5

$386

$290-$483

BGS 9

$232

$193-$290

BGS 8.5

$174

$135-$212

BGS 8

$135

$97-$174

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data

453

Total Graded

SGC 10 (Pristine)

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

13%

SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10

57(12.6%)

SGC 9.5

93(20.5%)

SGC 9

171(37.7%)

SGC 8.5

57(12.6%)

SGC 8

48(10.6%)

SGC 7-

27(6%)

View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)

$375

$295 - $469

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

$241

$188 - $295

SGC 9 (Mint)

$188

$147 - $228

SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)

$147

$121 - $174

SGC 8 (NM-MT)

$121

$94 - $147

SGC 7 (NM)

$94

$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator

Current Service

Current Grade

Target Service

Current Value ($)

BGS 9.5

PSA

Crossover Recommendation:Recommended

Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)

70%

Upgrade

PSA 9(Mint)

28%

Same Grade

PSA 8(NM-MT)

Downgrade

70%

Upgrade Rate

28%

Same Grade

Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$53

Expected Value

$15 - $65

Value Range

+$22

Potential Gain

-$28

Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.

Grading Cost Calculator

Raw Card Value ($)

Card Condition

Grading Service

Service Level

$55

Total Cost

$66

Expected Value

$-32

Expected Profit

-33%

Expected ROI

Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22

Grading Fee

$15

Shipping To

$13

Shipping Back

Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10

$152

+$54

PSA 9

35%

$78

$-20

PSA 8

35%

$56

$-42

PSA 7

18%

$48

$-50

PSA 6

$41

$-57

Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -33%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Erling Haaland

Unnumbered Card

Model A: Deterministic

Model B: Bayesian

Confidence Score

Market Sales Data

PSA Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

BGS Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

SGC Population Report

Grade Distribution

SGC Estimated Graded Values

Predicted Outcomes

Value Analysis

Cost Breakdown

Predicted Outcomes

Verified Sightings

SlabdeX Predictions

Partner Market Odds