Ollie Watkins

Name: Ollie Watkins - 2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League Purple Refractor
Brand: Topps
SKU: SLABDEX-90064

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2025)

Purple Refractor

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

copies documented so far

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered

Verified Sightings0

Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)

Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

LIVE

$3.75

Avg Sale Price

$3.75 - $3.75

Price Range

Recent Sales

Title	Price	Date	Link
Ollie Watkins Purple Refractor /299 Topps UCC Chrome 2024/25 Aston Villa	$3.75	3/15/2026	View

Grading Service Comparison

PSA

BGS

PSA: 503 (65.8%)

BGS: 262 (34.2%)

Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data

503

Total Graded

PSA 10 (Gem Mint)

241

PSA 9 (Mint)

17.9%

PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10

17.9%

PSA 9

241

47.9%

PSA 8.5

8.0%

PSA 8

11.9%

PSA 7

9.9%

PSA 6 & Below

-18

-3.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10

$175

PSA 9

$90

PSA 8

$60

PSA 7

$50

PSA 6

$40

Auth

$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data

262

Total Graded

BGS 10 (Black Label)

BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)

24.0%

BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)

1.1%

BGS 10(Pristine)

3.8%

BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)

24.0%

BGS 9(Mint)

112

42.7%

BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)

12.2%

BGS 8(NM-MT)

14.1%

BGS 7.5-

1.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL

$1,288

$966-$1932

BGS 10

$644

$483-$805

BGS 9.5

$322

$242-$403

BGS 9

$193

$161-$242

BGS 8.5

$145

$113-$177

BGS 8

$113

$81-$145

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data

271

Total Graded

SGC 10 (Pristine)

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

12%

SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10

33(12.2%)

SGC 9.5

55(20.3%)

SGC 9

105(38.7%)

SGC 8.5

33(12.2%)

SGC 8

28(10.3%)

SGC 7-

17(6.3%)

View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)

$302

$238 - $378

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

$194

$151 - $238

SGC 9 (Mint)

$151

$119 - $184

SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)

$119

$97 - $140

SGC 8 (NM-MT)

$97

$76 - $119

SGC 7 (NM)

$76

$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator

Current Service

Current Grade

Target Service

Current Value ($)

BGS 9.5

PSA

Crossover Recommendation:Recommended

Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)

70%

Upgrade

PSA 9(Mint)

28%

Same Grade

PSA 8(NM-MT)

Downgrade

70%

Upgrade Rate

28%

Same Grade

Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

Expected Value

$1 - $6

Value Range

+$2

Potential Gain

-$2

Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.

Grading Cost Calculator

Raw Card Value ($)

Card Condition

Grading Service

Service Level

$55

Total Cost

Expected Value

$-53

Expected Profit

-90%

Expected ROI

Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22

Grading Fee

$15

Shipping To

$13

Shipping Back

Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10

$13

$-46

PSA 9

35%

$-52

PSA 8

35%

$-54

PSA 7

18%

$-55

PSA 6

$-55

Negative expected ROI of -90%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Ollie Watkins

Unnumbered Card

Model A: Deterministic

Model B: Bayesian

Confidence Score

Market Sales Data

PSA Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

BGS Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

SGC Population Report

Grade Distribution

SGC Estimated Graded Values

Predicted Outcomes

Value Analysis

Cost Breakdown

Predicted Outcomes

Verified Sightings

SlabdeX Predictions

Partner Market Odds