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Kylian Mbappe card

Kylian Mbappe

#21 - Real Madrid

2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2025)

Gold /50 /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold /50
50
Total Print Run
0
Documented
50
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)50 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 50 copies have been documented.

50 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining50

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining43.4

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$79.99
Avg Sale Price
$79.99 - $79.99
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Topps Chrome Logofractor UEFA Club Competitions Base Gold Starball /50$79.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 506 (38.5%)
BGS: 807 (61.5%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
506
Total Graded
106
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
182
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
106
20.9%
PSA 9
182
36.0%
PSA 8.5
40
7.9%
PSA 8
60
11.9%
PSA 7
50
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
28
5.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
807
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
168
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
23
2.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
168
20.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
289
35.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
103
12.8%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
82
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
136
16.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$952
$714-$1428
BGS 10
$476
$357-$595
BGS 9.5
$238
$179-$298
BGS 9
$143
$119-$179
BGS 8.5
$107
$83-$131
BGS 8
$83
$60-$107

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
549
Total Graded
82
SGC 10 (Pristine)
124
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
82(14.9%)
SGC 9.5
124(22.6%)
SGC 9
214(39%)
SGC 8.5
67(12.2%)
SGC 8
59(10.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$98
Expected Value
$28 - $120
Value Range
+$40
Potential Gain
-$52
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$122
Expected Value
$-13
Expected Profit
-10%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$280
+$145
PSA 9
35%
$144
+$9
PSA 8
35%
$104
$-31
PSA 7
18%
$88
$-47
PSA 6
7%
$76
$-59
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -10%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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