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Declan Rice card

Declan Rice

#9 - Arsenal

2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Champions League (2025)

Black /1 /1

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Black /1
1
Total Print Run
0
Documented
1
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)1 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 1 copies have been documented.

1 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run1
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining1

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)88.3%
Expected Remaining0.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$300.00
Avg Sale Price
$300.00 - $300.00
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Topps Chrome UEFA Club Competitions Declan Rice #53 Black 07/10$300.003/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,509 (76%)
BGS: 476 (24%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,509
Total Graded
362
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
739
PSA 9 (Mint)
24.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
362
24.0%
PSA 9
739
49.0%
PSA 8.5
120
8.0%
PSA 8
181
12.0%
PSA 7
150
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-163
-10.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
476
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
121
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
121
25.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
202
42.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
73
15.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
53
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
12
2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$848
$636-$1272
BGS 10
$424
$318-$530
BGS 9.5
$212
$159-$265
BGS 9
$127
$106-$159
BGS 8.5
$95
$74-$117
BGS 8
$74
$53-$95

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
666
Total Graded
95
SGC 10 (Pristine)
139
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
95(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
139(20.9%)
SGC 9
264(39.6%)
SGC 8.5
85(12.8%)
SGC 8
66(9.9%)
SGC 7-
17(2.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$368
Expected Value
$105 - $450
Value Range
+$150
Potential Gain
-$195
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$457
Expected Value
+$102
Expected Profit
+29%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1050
+$695
PSA 9
35%
$540
+$185
PSA 8
35%
$390
+$35
PSA 7
18%
$330
$-25
PSA 6
7%
$285
$-70
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 29%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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