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Florian Wirtz card

Florian Wirtz

#24 - Bayer Leverkusen

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Purple Refractor

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$7.89
Avg Sale Price
$6.07 - $10.13
Price Range
13
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+29.0%
13 sales tracked
Jan 20Jan 29Jan 29Feb 11Feb 12Feb 13Feb 15Feb 21Feb 23Feb 25Mar 3Mar 10Mar 12$5.664000000000001$7.664000000000001$10.536000000000001Avg: $8
$6
Low
$8
Average
$10
High
+2
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Purple Refractor BGS 9.5$8.983/12/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Purple Refractor PSA 10$10.133/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Purple Refractor$7.693/3/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Purple Refractor$6.292/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Florian Wirtz Purple Refractor PSA 9$7.102/23/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,514 (70.7%)
BGS: 628 (29.3%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,514
Total Graded
287
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
741
PSA 9 (Mint)
19.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
287
19.0%
PSA 9
741
48.9%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
12.0%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-88
-5.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
628
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
153
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
153
24.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
247
39.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
83
13.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
75
11.9%
BGS 7.5-
50
8.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$816
$612-$1224
BGS 10
$408
$306-$510
BGS 9.5
$204
$153-$255
BGS 9
$122
$102-$153
BGS 8.5
$92
$71-$112
BGS 8
$71
$51-$92

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
369
Total Graded
55
SGC 10 (Pristine)
74
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
55(14.9%)
SGC 9.5
74(20.1%)
SGC 9
148(40.1%)
SGC 8.5
45(12.2%)
SGC 8
44(11.9%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$10
Expected Value
$3 - $12
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$5
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$12
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-81%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$28
$-35
PSA 9
35%
$14
$-49
PSA 8
35%
$10
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$9
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$7
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -81%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Florian Wirtz BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in