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Bukayo Saka card

Bukayo Saka

#2 - Arsenal

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Blue /199 /199

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Blue /199
199
Total Print Run
0
Documented
199
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)199 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 199 copies have been documented.

199 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run199
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining199

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining170.6

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$11.01
Avg Sale Price
$7.90 - $14.49
Price Range
14
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+14.6%
14 sales tracked
Jan 19Jan 20Jan 26Feb 4Feb 7Feb 13Feb 19Feb 20Feb 24Mar 6Mar 6Mar 8Mar 9Mar 13$7.2410000000000005$9.241$11.241$15.149000000000001Avg: $11
$8
Low
$11
Average
$14
High
+1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Blue /199$9.053/13/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Blue /199 PSA 10$13.953/9/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Blue /199 PSA 9$8.723/8/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Blue /199 BGS 9.5$10.273/6/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Blue /199$9.723/6/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 515 (43.2%)
BGS: 677 (56.8%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
515
Total Graded
103
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
231
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
103
20.0%
PSA 9
231
44.9%
PSA 8.5
41
8.0%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-13
-2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
677
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
162
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
162
23.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
273
40.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
98
14.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
69
10.2%
BGS 7.5-
52
7.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,432
$1074-$2148
BGS 10
$716
$537-$895
BGS 9.5
$358
$269-$448
BGS 9
$215
$179-$269
BGS 8.5
$161
$125-$197
BGS 8
$125
$90-$161

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
452
Total Graded
61
SGC 10 (Pristine)
106
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
61(13.5%)
SGC 9.5
106(23.5%)
SGC 9
182(40.3%)
SGC 8.5
56(12.4%)
SGC 8
44(9.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$13
Expected Value
$4 - $17
Value Range
+$6
Potential Gain
-$7
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$17
Expected Value
$-49
Expected Profit
-74%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$39
$-27
PSA 9
35%
$20
$-46
PSA 8
35%
$14
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$12
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$10
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -74%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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