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Bruno Fernandes card

Bruno Fernandes

#5 - Manchester United

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Blue /199 /199

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Blue /199
199
Total Print Run
0
Documented
199
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)199 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 199 copies have been documented.

199 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run199
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining199

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining170.6

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$9.26
Avg Sale Price
$5.77 - $12.47
Price Range
18
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+34.8%
18 sales tracked
Jan 21Jan 22Jan 31Feb 1Feb 9Feb 10Feb 16Feb 17Feb 18Feb 19Feb 19Feb 20Feb 22Feb 28Mar 5Mar 8Mar 8Mar 10$5.1$8.1$13.14Avg: $9
$6
Low
$9
Average
$12
High
+3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Blue /199 PSA 10$11.423/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Blue /199 PSA 10$8.193/8/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Blue /199 PSA 10$11.023/8/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Blue /199 SGC 10$9.483/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Blue /199$6.342/28/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,515 (68.5%)
BGS: 698 (31.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,515
Total Graded
303
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
681
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
303
20.0%
PSA 9
681
45.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
11.9%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-43
-2.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
698
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
187
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
187
26.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
262
37.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
101
14.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
77
11.0%
BGS 7.5-
51
7.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$496
$372-$744
BGS 10
$248
$186-$310
BGS 9.5
$124
$93-$155
BGS 9
$74
$62-$93
BGS 8.5
$56
$43-$68
BGS 8
$43
$31-$56

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
489
Total Graded
58
SGC 10 (Pristine)
116
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
58(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
116(23.7%)
SGC 9
192(39.3%)
SGC 8.5
63(12.9%)
SGC 8
57(11.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$11
Expected Value
$3 - $14
Value Range
+$5
Potential Gain
-$6
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$14
Expected Value
$-50
Expected Profit
-78%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$32
$-32
PSA 9
35%
$17
$-47
PSA 8
35%
$12
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$10
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$9
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -78%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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