Ollie Watkins

Name: Ollie Watkins - 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Blue /199
Brand: Topps
SKU: SLABDEX-90364

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Blue /199 /199

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Blue /199

199

Total Print Run

Documented

199

Still Available

0 seen (0.0%)199 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 199 copies have been documented.

199 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run199

Verified Sightings0

Publicly Remaining199

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%

P(Still Unpulled)100.0%

Expected Remaining170.6

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)

Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$4.77

Avg Sale Price

$3.51 - $6.48

Price Range

Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data

+46.4%

15 sales tracked

Low

Average

High

Change

Title	Price	Date	Link
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Blue /199 PSA 10	$5.27	3/13/2026	View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Blue /199 PSA 9	$3.53	3/5/2026	View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Blue /199 PSA 10	$5.01	3/2/2026	View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Blue /199 PSA 10	$5.85	2/23/2026	View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Blue /199 PSA 9	$3.59	2/16/2026	View

Grading Service Comparison

PSA

BGS

PSA: 515 (40.4%)

BGS: 761 (59.6%)

Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data

515

Total Graded

103

PSA 10 (Gem Mint)

231

PSA 9 (Mint)

20.0%

PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10

103

20.0%

PSA 9

231

44.9%

PSA 8.5

8.0%

PSA 8

11.8%

PSA 7

9.9%

PSA 6 & Below

-13

-2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10

$175

PSA 9

$90

PSA 8

$60

PSA 7

$50

PSA 6

$40

Auth

$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data

761

Total Graded

BGS 10 (Black Label)

163

BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)

21.4%

BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)

0.7%

BGS 10(Pristine)

2.1%

BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)

163

21.4%

BGS 9(Mint)

267

35.1%

BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)

12.1%

BGS 8(NM-MT)

11.4%

BGS 7.5-

131

17.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL

$1,288

$966-$1932

BGS 10

$644

$483-$805

BGS 9.5

$322

$242-$403

BGS 9

$193

$161-$242

BGS 8.5

$145

$113-$177

BGS 8

$113

$81-$145

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data

571

Total Graded

SGC 10 (Pristine)

115

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

12%

SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10

69(12.1%)

SGC 9.5

115(20.1%)

SGC 9

220(38.5%)

SGC 8.5

69(12.1%)

SGC 8

58(10.2%)

SGC 7-

40(7%)

View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)

$302

$238 - $378

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

$194

$151 - $238

SGC 9 (Mint)

$151

$119 - $184

SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)

$119

$97 - $140

SGC 8 (NM-MT)

$97

$76 - $119

SGC 7 (NM)

$76

$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator

Current Service

Current Grade

Target Service

Current Value ($)

BGS 9.5

PSA

Crossover Recommendation:Recommended

Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)

70%

Upgrade

PSA 9(Mint)

28%

Same Grade

PSA 8(NM-MT)

Downgrade

70%

Upgrade Rate

28%

Same Grade

Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

Expected Value

$2 - $7

Value Range

+$2

Potential Gain

-$3

Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.

Grading Cost Calculator

Raw Card Value ($)

Card Condition

Grading Service

Service Level

$55

Total Cost

Expected Value

$-53

Expected Profit

-88%

Expected ROI

Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22

Grading Fee

$15

Shipping To

$13

Shipping Back

Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10

$17

$-43

PSA 9

35%

$-51

PSA 8

35%

$-54

PSA 7

18%

$-55

PSA 6

$-55

Negative expected ROI of -88%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Ollie Watkins

Cards Remaining

Model A: Deterministic

Model B: Bayesian

Confidence Score

Market Sales Data

eBay Price History

PSA Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

BGS Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

SGC Population Report

Grade Distribution

SGC Estimated Graded Values

Predicted Outcomes

Value Analysis

Cost Breakdown

Predicted Outcomes

Verified Sightings

SlabdeX Predictions

Partner Market Odds