Trent Alexander-Arnold
#15 - Liverpool
2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)
Blue /199 /199Cards Remaining
Good availability
199
Total Print Run
0
Documented
199
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)199 remaining (100.0%)
0 of 199 copies have been documented.
199 copies could still be pulled from packs!
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print Run199
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining199
Model B: Bayesian
Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining170.6
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$12.18
Avg Sale Price
$8.50 - $16.58
Price Range
12
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data+20.8%
12 sales tracked$9
Low
$12
Average
$17
High
+2
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Blue /199 BGS 9.5 | $12.39 | 3/14/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Blue /199 PSA 10 | $16.58 | 3/10/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Blue /199 PSA 9 | $8.50 | 3/10/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Blue /199 BGS 9.5 | $11.49 | 2/22/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Blue /199 BGS 9.5 | $13.59 | 2/18/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,515 (66.4%)
BGS: 768 (33.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,515
Total Graded
303
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
606
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
303
20.0%
PSA 9
606
40.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
181
11.9%
PSA 7
151
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
32
2.1%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
768
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
171
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
15
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
171
22.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
276
35.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
100
13.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
79
10.3%
BGS 7.5-
124
16.1%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,376
$1032-$2064
BGS 10
$688
$516-$860
BGS 9.5
$344
$258-$430
BGS 9
$206
$172-$258
BGS 8.5
$155
$120-$189
BGS 8
$120
$86-$155
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
586
Total Graded
81
SGC 10 (Pristine)
128
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
81(13.8%)
SGC 9.5
128(21.8%)
SGC 9
235(40.1%)
SGC 8.5
81(13.8%)
SGC 8
58(9.9%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$15
Expected Value
$4 - $18
Value Range
+$6
Potential Gain
-$8
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$19
Expected Value
$-48
Expected Profit
-72%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$43
$-24
PSA 9
35%
$22
$-45
PSA 8
35%
$16
$-51
PSA 7
18%
$13
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$12
$-55
Negative expected ROI of -72%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.