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Alexander Isak card

Alexander Isak

#13 - Newcastle United

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Green /99 /99

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Green /99
99
Total Print Run
0
Documented
99
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)99 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 99 copies have been documented.

99 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run99
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining99

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining85.4

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$5.46
Avg Sale Price
$3.72 - $7.41
Price Range
11
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-47.6%
11 sales tracked
Jan 16Jan 17Jan 18Jan 19Jan 27Feb 2Feb 19Feb 28Mar 3Mar 4Mar 14$3.351$5.351$7.779Avg: $5
$4
Low
$5
Average
$7
High
-3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Green /99$3.723/14/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Green /99 PSA 10$6.723/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Green /99$4.083/3/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Green /99 PSA 10$7.412/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Green /99$5.112/19/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 516 (35.7%)
BGS: 929 (64.3%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
516
Total Graded
108
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
237
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
108
20.9%
PSA 9
237
45.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
61
11.8%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-23
-4.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
929
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
214
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
214
23.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
334
36.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
120
12.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
106
11.4%
BGS 7.5-
130
14.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,000
$750-$1500
BGS 10
$500
$375-$625
BGS 9.5
$250
$188-$313
BGS 9
$150
$125-$188
BGS 8.5
$113
$88-$138
BGS 8
$88
$63-$113

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
257
Total Graded
33
SGC 10 (Pristine)
72
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
33(12.8%)
SGC 9.5
72(28%)
SGC 9
87(33.9%)
SGC 8.5
38(14.8%)
SGC 8
24(9.3%)
SGC 7-
3(1.2%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$7
Expected Value
$2 - $8
Value Range
+$3
Potential Gain
-$4
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$8
Expected Value
$-52
Expected Profit
-87%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$19
$-41
PSA 9
35%
$10
$-50
PSA 8
35%
$7
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$6
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$5
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -87%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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