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Vinicius Jr card

Vinicius Jr

#22 - Real Madrid

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Gold /50 /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold /50
50
Total Print Run
0
Documented
50
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)50 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 50 copies have been documented.

50 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining50

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining43.4

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$8.71
Avg Sale Price
$6.83 - $11.22
Price Range
11
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-29.6%
11 sales tracked
Jan 23Jan 30Feb 13Feb 18Feb 26Feb 28Mar 5Mar 5Mar 10Mar 11Mar 12$6.391$8.391$11.659Avg: $9
$7
Low
$9
Average
$11
High
-3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Vinicius Jr Gold /50 PSA 10$7.463/12/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Vinicius Jr Gold /50 BGS 9.5$8.143/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Vinicius Jr Gold /50 SGC 10$7.973/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Vinicius Jr Gold /50 BGS 9.5$8.813/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Vinicius Jr Gold /50 PSA 9$7.903/5/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 517 (58.6%)
BGS: 366 (41.4%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
517
Total Graded
113
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
242
PSA 9 (Mint)
21.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
113
21.9%
PSA 9
242
46.8%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
12.0%
PSA 7
51
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-33
-6.4%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
366
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
106
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
29.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
106
29.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
137
37.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
59
16.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
47
12.8%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,240
$930-$1860
BGS 10
$620
$465-$775
BGS 9.5
$310
$233-$388
BGS 9
$186
$155-$233
BGS 8.5
$140
$109-$171
BGS 8
$109
$78-$140

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
580
Total Graded
82
SGC 10 (Pristine)
138
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
82(14.1%)
SGC 9.5
138(23.8%)
SGC 9
217(37.4%)
SGC 8.5
77(13.3%)
SGC 8
63(10.9%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$11
Expected Value
$3 - $13
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$6
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$13
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-80%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$30
$-34
PSA 9
35%
$16
$-48
PSA 8
35%
$11
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$10
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$8
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -80%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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