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Bruno Fernandes card

Bruno Fernandes

#5 - Manchester United

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$4.84
Avg Sale Price
$3.53 - $6.96
Price Range
14
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+45.3%
14 sales tracked
Jan 17Jan 20Jan 27Feb 1Feb 1Feb 2Feb 4Feb 4Feb 6Feb 10Feb 25Feb 25Mar 6Mar 11$3.187$5.187$7.303Avg: $5
$4
Low
$5
Average
$7
High
+2
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Red /10 PSA 10$6.963/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Red /10$3.683/6/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Red /10$4.782/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Red /10 SGC 10$6.782/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Red /10 PSA 9$4.382/10/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,519 (71.8%)
BGS: 598 (28.2%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,519
Total Graded
364
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
668
PSA 9 (Mint)
24.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
364
24.0%
PSA 9
668
44.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
151
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-88
-5.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
598
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
167
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
27.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
17
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
167
27.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
247
41.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
89
14.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
62
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
14
2.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$896
$672-$1344
BGS 10
$448
$336-$560
BGS 9.5
$224
$168-$280
BGS 9
$134
$112-$168
BGS 8.5
$101
$78-$123
BGS 8
$78
$56-$101

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
372
Total Graded
46
SGC 10 (Pristine)
86
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
46(12.4%)
SGC 9.5
86(23.1%)
SGC 9
137(36.8%)
SGC 8.5
56(15.1%)
SGC 8
43(11.6%)
SGC 7-
4(1.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$6
Expected Value
$2 - $7
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$3
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$7
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-88%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$17
$-43
PSA 9
35%
$9
$-51
PSA 8
35%
$6
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$5
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$5
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -88%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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