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Virgil van Dijk card

Virgil van Dijk

#11 - Liverpool

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Black /1 /1

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Black /1
1
Total Print Run
0
Documented
1
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)1 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 1 copies have been documented.

1 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run1
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining1

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)88.3%
Expected Remaining0.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$2.41
Avg Sale Price
$1.54 - $3.15
Price Range
14
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-19.7%
14 sales tracked
Mar 2Mar 6Mar 12Mar 24Mar 27Apr 1Apr 2Apr 7Apr 9Apr 16Apr 17Apr 19Apr 26Apr 26$1.379$1.879$2.379$3.311Avg: $2
$2
Low
$2
Average
$3
High
-0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Virgil van Dijk Black /1 BGS 9.5$2.484/26/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Virgil van Dijk Black /1 PSA 9$1.834/26/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Virgil van Dijk Black /1$1.544/19/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Virgil van Dijk Black /1 PSA 10$2.424/17/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Virgil van Dijk Black /1 PSA 10$3.094/16/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 520 (39%)
BGS: 815 (61%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
520
Total Graded
78
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
207
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
78
15.0%
PSA 9
207
39.8%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
39
7.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
815
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
178
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
23
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
178
21.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
300
36.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
13.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
91
11.2%
BGS 7.5-
106
13.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,224
$918-$1836
BGS 10
$612
$459-$765
BGS 9.5
$306
$230-$383
BGS 9
$184
$153-$230
BGS 8.5
$138
$107-$168
BGS 8
$107
$77-$138

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
713
Total Graded
88
SGC 10 (Pristine)
165
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
88(12.3%)
SGC 9.5
165(23.1%)
SGC 9
282(39.6%)
SGC 8.5
93(13%)
SGC 8
82(11.5%)
SGC 7-
3(0.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$375
$295 - $469
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$241
$188 - $295
SGC 9 (Mint)
$188
$147 - $228
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$147
$121 - $174
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$121
$94 - $147
SGC 7 (NM)
$94
$67 - $121

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$3
Expected Value
$1 - $4
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$4
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-93%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$8
$-49
PSA 9
35%
$4
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -93%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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