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Erling Haaland card

Erling Haaland

#1 - Manchester City

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

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Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$127.28
Avg Sale Price
$122.93 - $129.85
Price Range
3
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-0.6%
3 sales tracked
Jan 30Feb 10Feb 26$122.23800000000001$125.23800000000001$130.542Avg: $127
$123
Low
$127
Average
$130
High
-1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Erling Haaland Auto PSA 10$129.052/26/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Erling Haaland Auto PSA 9$122.932/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Erling Haaland Auto PSA 10$129.851/30/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,521 (62.3%)
BGS: 920 (37.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,521
Total Graded
243
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
623
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
243
16.0%
PSA 9
623
41.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
79
5.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
920
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
204
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
204
22.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
322
35.0%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
110
12.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
102
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
159
17.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,344
$1008-$2016
BGS 10
$672
$504-$840
BGS 9.5
$336
$252-$420
BGS 9
$202
$168-$252
BGS 8.5
$151
$118-$185
BGS 8
$118
$84-$151

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
303
Total Graded
41
SGC 10 (Pristine)
63
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
41(13.5%)
SGC 9.5
63(20.8%)
SGC 9
120(39.6%)
SGC 8.5
41(13.5%)
SGC 8
35(11.6%)
SGC 7-
3(1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$193
$152 - $242
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$124
$97 - $152
SGC 9 (Mint)
$97
$76 - $117
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$76
$62 - $90
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$62
$48 - $76
SGC 7 (NM)
$48
$35 - $62

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$156
Expected Value
$45 - $191
Value Range
+$64
Potential Gain
-$83
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$194
Expected Value
+$12
Expected Profit
+6%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$445
+$263
PSA 9
35%
$229
+$47
PSA 8
35%
$165
$-17
PSA 7
18%
$140
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$121
$-61
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 6%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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