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Bukayo Saka card

Bukayo Saka

#2 - Arsenal

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

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Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$265.72
Avg Sale Price
$197.06 - $355.20
Price Range
7
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-42.3%
7 sales tracked
Jan 14Jan 15Jan 21Jan 30Feb 16Feb 28Mar 5$181.246$231.246$281.246$371.014Avg: $266
$197
Low
$266
Average
$355
High
-150
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Auto PSA 9$204.993/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Auto$197.062/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Auto PSA 9$265.902/16/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Auto PSA 10$275.371/30/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bukayo Saka Auto BGS 9.5$327.781/21/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 521 (36%)
BGS: 927 (64%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
521
Total Graded
83
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
187
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
83
15.9%
PSA 9
187
35.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
55
10.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
927
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
212
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
25
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
212
22.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
331
35.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
118
12.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
94
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
141
15.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,432
$1074-$2148
BGS 10
$716
$537-$895
BGS 9.5
$358
$269-$448
BGS 9
$215
$179-$269
BGS 8.5
$161
$125-$197
BGS 8
$125
$90-$161

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
340
Total Graded
53
SGC 10 (Pristine)
76
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
16%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
53(15.6%)
SGC 9.5
76(22.4%)
SGC 9
135(39.7%)
SGC 8.5
38(11.2%)
SGC 8
35(10.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$326
Expected Value
$93 - $399
Value Range
+$133
Potential Gain
-$173
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$405
Expected Value
+$84
Expected Profit
+26%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$930
+$609
PSA 9
35%
$478
+$157
PSA 8
35%
$345
+$24
PSA 7
18%
$292
$-29
PSA 6
7%
$252
$-69
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 26%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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