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Phil Foden card

Phil Foden

#10 - Manchester City

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

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Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$90.81
Avg Sale Price
$70.14 - $115.49
Price Range
5
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+21.2%
5 sales tracked
Feb 19Feb 22Feb 24Mar 4Mar 9$65.605$80.605$95.605$120.02499999999999Avg: $91
$70
Low
$91
Average
$115
High
+18
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Auto PSA 10$105.103/9/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Auto BGS 9.5$115.493/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Auto$70.142/24/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Auto$76.612/22/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Auto$86.732/19/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 521 (34.6%)
BGS: 983 (65.4%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
521
Total Graded
83
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
213
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
83
15.9%
PSA 9
213
40.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
29
5.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
983
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
229
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
26
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
229
23.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
367
37.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
120
12.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
111
11.3%
BGS 7.5-
125
12.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$936
$702-$1404
BGS 10
$468
$351-$585
BGS 9.5
$234
$176-$293
BGS 9
$140
$117-$176
BGS 8.5
$105
$82-$129
BGS 8
$82
$59-$105

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
390
Total Graded
52
SGC 10 (Pristine)
92
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
52(13.3%)
SGC 9.5
92(23.6%)
SGC 9
148(37.9%)
SGC 8.5
47(12.1%)
SGC 8
48(12.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$111
Expected Value
$32 - $136
Value Range
+$45
Potential Gain
-$59
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$138
Expected Value
$-8
Expected Profit
-5%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$318
+$172
PSA 9
35%
$163
+$17
PSA 8
35%
$118
$-28
PSA 7
18%
$100
$-46
PSA 6
7%
$86
$-60
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -5%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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