Alexander Isak
#13 - Newcastle United
2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)
AutoUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$150.60
Avg Sale Price
$119.18 - $205.63
Price Range
3
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data+6.5%
3 sales tracked$119
Low
$151
Average
$206
High
+8
Change
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
PSA: 1,521 (88.2%)
BGS: 204 (11.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
1,521
Total Graded
243
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
623
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.0%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
243
16.0%
PSA 9
623
41.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
79
5.2%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
204
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
44
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
1.0%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
3.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
44
21.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
75
36.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
28
13.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
24
11.8%
BGS 7.5-
23
11.3%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,200
$900-$1800
BGS 10
$600
$450-$750
BGS 9.5
$300
$225-$375
BGS 9
$180
$150-$225
BGS 8.5
$135
$105-$165
BGS 8
$105
$75-$135
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
415
Total Graded
49
SGC 10 (Pristine)
102
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
49(11.8%)
SGC 9.5
102(24.6%)
SGC 9
158(38.1%)
SGC 8.5
54(13%)
SGC 8
49(11.8%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$184
Expected Value
$53 - $226
Value Range
+$75
Potential Gain
-$98
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$230
Expected Value
+$24
Expected Profit
+12%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$527
+$321
PSA 9
35%
$271
+$65
PSA 8
35%
$196
$-10
PSA 7
18%
$166
$-40
PSA 6
7%
$143
$-63
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 12%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.