Ollie Watkins
#14 - Aston Villa
2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)
AutoUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$95.61
Avg Sale Price
$63.58 - $136.83
Price Range
5
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data-43.2%
5 sales tracked$64
Low
$96
Average
$137
High
-59
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 9 | $77.72 | 3/6/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 9 | $99.75 | 2/17/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Auto | $63.58 | 2/14/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Auto SGC 10 | $100.19 | 2/11/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 10 | $136.83 | 2/10/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 521 (70.3%)
BGS: 220 (29.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant
PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
521
Total Graded
83
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
187
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
83
15.9%
PSA 9
187
35.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
55
10.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
220
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
53
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
3
1.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
3.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
53
24.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
84
38.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
36
16.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
32
14.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
2.3%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,288
$966-$1932
BGS 10
$644
$483-$805
BGS 9.5
$322
$242-$403
BGS 9
$193
$161-$242
BGS 8.5
$145
$113-$177
BGS 8
$113
$81-$145
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
422
Total Graded
61
SGC 10 (Pristine)
85
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
61(14.5%)
SGC 9.5
85(20.1%)
SGC 9
173(41%)
SGC 8.5
51(12.1%)
SGC 8
49(11.6%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$117
Expected Value
$33 - $143
Value Range
+$48
Potential Gain
-$62
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$146
Expected Value
$-5
Expected Profit
-3%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$335
+$184
PSA 9
35%
$172
+$21
PSA 8
35%
$124
$-27
PSA 7
18%
$105
$-46
PSA 6
7%
$91
$-60
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Negative expected ROI of -3%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.