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Bruno Fernandes card

Bruno Fernandes

#5 - Manchester United

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$233.90
Avg Sale Price
$199.49 - $251.47
Price Range
4
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+4.8%
4 sales tracked
Jan 15Jan 31Feb 26Mar 4$194.292$214.292$234.292$256.668Avg: $234
$199
Low
$234
Average
$251
High
+12
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Patch Auto$251.473/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Patch Auto PSA 9$244.712/26/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Patch Auto PSA 9$199.491/31/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Bruno Fernandes Patch Auto$239.921/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 522 (61.8%)
BGS: 323 (38.2%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
522
Total Graded
88
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
245
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
88
16.9%
PSA 9
245
46.9%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-7
-1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
323
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
87
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
87
26.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
116
35.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
41
12.7%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
35
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
34
10.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,496
$1122-$2244
BGS 10
$748
$561-$935
BGS 9.5
$374
$281-$468
BGS 9
$224
$187-$281
BGS 8.5
$168
$131-$206
BGS 8
$131
$94-$168

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
607
Total Graded
78
SGC 10 (Pristine)
146
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
78(12.9%)
SGC 9.5
146(24.1%)
SGC 9
235(38.7%)
SGC 8.5
83(13.7%)
SGC 8
62(10.2%)
SGC 7-
3(0.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$287
Expected Value
$82 - $351
Value Range
+$117
Potential Gain
-$152
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$357
Expected Value
+$68
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$819
+$530
PSA 9
35%
$421
+$132
PSA 8
35%
$304
+$15
PSA 7
18%
$257
$-32
PSA 6
7%
$222
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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