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Martin Odegaard card

Martin Odegaard

#7 - Arsenal

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$270.38
Avg Sale Price
$189.63 - $324.30
Price Range
5
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-5.5%
5 sales tracked
Jan 18Feb 3Feb 6Feb 8Feb 28$176.16299999999998$221.16299999999998$266.16299999999995$337.767Avg: $270
$190
Low
$270
Average
$324
High
-15
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Martin Odegaard Patch Auto PSA 9$258.872/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Martin Odegaard Patch Auto BGS 9.5$324.302/8/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Martin Odegaard Patch Auto$189.632/6/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Martin Odegaard Patch Auto PSA 10$305.152/3/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Martin Odegaard Patch Auto SGC 10$273.961/18/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 522 (60.2%)
BGS: 345 (39.8%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
522
Total Graded
88
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
193
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
88
16.9%
PSA 9
193
37.0%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
45
8.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
345
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
104
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
30.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.9%
BGS 10(Pristine)
7
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
104
30.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
134
38.8%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
57
16.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
35
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$472
$354-$708
BGS 10
$236
$177-$295
BGS 9.5
$118
$89-$148
BGS 9
$71
$59-$89
BGS 8.5
$53
$41-$65
BGS 8
$41
$30-$53

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
619
Total Graded
83
SGC 10 (Pristine)
142
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
83(13.4%)
SGC 9.5
142(22.9%)
SGC 9
230(37.2%)
SGC 8.5
78(12.6%)
SGC 8
62(10%)
SGC 7-
24(3.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$331
Expected Value
$95 - $406
Value Range
+$135
Potential Gain
-$176
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$412
Expected Value
+$87
Expected Profit
+27%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$946
+$621
PSA 9
35%
$487
+$162
PSA 8
35%
$351
+$26
PSA 7
18%
$297
$-28
PSA 6
7%
$257
$-68
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 27%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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