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Phil Foden card

Phil Foden

#10 - Manchester City

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$133.88
Avg Sale Price
$107.96 - $160.81
Price Range
4
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-32.9%
4 sales tracked
Feb 3Feb 28Mar 11Mar 12$102.675$122.675$142.675$166.095Avg: $134
$108
Low
$134
Average
$161
High
-53
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Patch Auto$107.963/12/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Patch Auto PSA 9$114.883/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Patch Auto BGS 9.5$151.852/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Phil Foden Patch Auto BGS 9.5$160.812/3/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,522 (80.6%)
BGS: 366 (19.4%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,522
Total Graded
258
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
563
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
258
17.0%
PSA 9
563
37.0%
PSA 8.5
121
8.0%
PSA 8
182
12.0%
PSA 7
152
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
125
8.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
366
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
79
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
3.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
79
21.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
163
44.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
60
16.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
43
11.7%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$736
$552-$1104
BGS 10
$368
$276-$460
BGS 9.5
$184
$138-$230
BGS 9
$110
$92-$138
BGS 8.5
$83
$64-$101
BGS 8
$64
$46-$83

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
652
Total Graded
80
SGC 10 (Pristine)
152
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
80(12.3%)
SGC 9.5
152(23.3%)
SGC 9
240(36.8%)
SGC 8.5
85(13%)
SGC 8
75(11.5%)
SGC 7-
20(3.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$164
Expected Value
$47 - $201
Value Range
+$67
Potential Gain
-$87
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$204
Expected Value
+$15
Expected Profit
+8%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$469
+$280
PSA 9
35%
$241
+$52
PSA 8
35%
$174
$-15
PSA 7
18%
$147
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$127
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 8%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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