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Alexander Isak card

Alexander Isak

#13 - Newcastle United

2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$249.22
Avg Sale Price
$168.54 - $336.86
Price Range
7
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+61.7%
7 sales tracked
Jan 16Jan 18Jan 26Feb 3Feb 5Feb 24Mar 2$151.708$206.708$261.708$353.692Avg: $249
$169
Low
$249
Average
$337
High
+127
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Patch Auto BGS 9.5$333.763/2/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Patch Auto$210.952/24/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Patch Auto$168.542/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Patch Auto$239.922/3/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Alexander Isak Patch Auto PSA 10$336.861/26/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 522 (57.4%)
BGS: 388 (42.6%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
522
Total Graded
88
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
193
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
88
16.9%
PSA 9
193
37.0%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
45
8.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
388
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
104
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
10
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
104
26.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
151
38.9%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
64
16.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
51
13.1%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,000
$750-$1500
BGS 10
$500
$375-$625
BGS 9.5
$250
$188-$313
BGS 9
$150
$125-$188
BGS 8.5
$113
$88-$138
BGS 8
$88
$63-$113

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
685
Total Graded
97
SGC 10 (Pristine)
162
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
97(14.2%)
SGC 9.5
162(23.6%)
SGC 9
249(36.4%)
SGC 8.5
92(13.4%)
SGC 8
75(10.9%)
SGC 7-
10(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$305
Expected Value
$87 - $374
Value Range
+$125
Potential Gain
-$162
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$380
Expected Value
+$76
Expected Profit
+25%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$872
+$568
PSA 9
35%
$449
+$145
PSA 8
35%
$324
+$20
PSA 7
18%
$274
$-30
PSA 6
7%
$237
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 25%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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