Trent Alexander-Arnold
#15 - Liverpool
2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA (2025)
Patch AutoUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$134.39
Avg Sale Price
$100.68 - $164.36
Price Range
4
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data+13.1%
4 sales tracked$101
Low
$134
Average
$164
High
+13
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Patch Auto PSA 9 | $113.84 | 3/11/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Patch Auto PSA 10 | $164.36 | 3/7/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Patch Auto PSA 10 | $158.69 | 2/23/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Topps Merlin Heritage UEFA Trent Alexander-Arnold Patch Auto PSA 9 | $100.68 | 2/14/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 522 (55.5%)
BGS: 418 (44.5%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split
Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
522
Total Graded
88
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
219
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
88
16.9%
PSA 9
219
42.0%
PSA 8.5
41
7.9%
PSA 8
62
11.9%
PSA 7
52
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
19
3.6%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
418
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
121
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.9%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
121
28.9%
BGS 9(Mint)
170
40.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
60
14.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
52
12.4%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.2%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$1,176
$882-$1764
BGS 10
$588
$441-$735
BGS 9.5
$294
$221-$368
BGS 9
$176
$147-$221
BGS 8.5
$132
$103-$162
BGS 8
$103
$74-$132
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
707
Total Graded
101
SGC 10 (Pristine)
158
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
101(14.3%)
SGC 9.5
158(22.3%)
SGC 9
279(39.5%)
SGC 8.5
86(12.2%)
SGC 8
75(10.6%)
SGC 7-
8(1.1%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$165
Expected Value
$47 - $202
Value Range
+$67
Potential Gain
-$87
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$205
Expected Value
+$16
Expected Profit
+8%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$470
+$281
PSA 9
35%
$242
+$53
PSA 8
35%
$175
$-14
PSA 7
18%
$148
$-41
PSA 6
7%
$128
$-61
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Marginal ROI of 8%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.