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Kylian Mbappe card

Kylian Mbappe

#21 - Real Madrid

2024-25 Prizm Premier League (2025)

Blue /199 /199

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Blue /199
199
Total Print Run
0
Documented
199
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)199 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 199 copies have been documented.

199 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run199
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining199

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining170.6

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$2.20
Avg Sale Price
$1.71 - $2.87
Price Range
17
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-26.6%
17 sales tracked
Mar 5Mar 6Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21Mar 23Mar 28Mar 28Apr 7Apr 15Apr 15Apr 18Apr 26Apr 27Apr 28Apr 29Apr 29$1.5939999999999999$1.944$2.294$2.986Avg: $2
$2
Low
$2
Average
$3
High
-1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Prizm Premier League Kylian Mbappe Blue /199$1.894/29/2026View
2025 2024-25 Prizm Premier League Kylian Mbappe Blue /199 PSA 9$1.934/29/2026View
2025 2024-25 Prizm Premier League Kylian Mbappe Blue /199$1.934/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Prizm Premier League Kylian Mbappe Blue /199$1.804/27/2026View
2025 2024-25 Prizm Premier League Kylian Mbappe Blue /199$1.914/26/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 526 (63.1%)
BGS: 307 (36.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
526
Total Graded
110
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
241
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
110
20.9%
PSA 9
241
45.8%
PSA 8.5
42
8.0%
PSA 8
63
12.0%
PSA 7
52
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
-24
-4.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
307
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
68
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
68
22.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
134
43.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
43
14.0%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
37
12.1%
BGS 7.5-
14
4.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$552
$414-$828
BGS 10
$276
$207-$345
BGS 9.5
$138
$104-$173
BGS 9
$83
$69-$104
BGS 8.5
$62
$48-$76
BGS 8
$48
$35-$62

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
667
Total Graded
94
SGC 10 (Pristine)
154
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
94(14.1%)
SGC 9.5
154(23.1%)
SGC 9
254(38.1%)
SGC 8.5
89(13.3%)
SGC 8
73(10.9%)
SGC 7-
3(0.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$3
Expected Value
$1 - $3
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$3
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-95%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$8
$-49
PSA 9
35%
$4
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$2
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -95%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will grading Kylian Mbappe raw to PSA 10 yield 3x+ ROI within 90 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in