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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Prizm Premier League (2025)

Gold /50 /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold /50
50
Total Print Run
0
Documented
50
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)50 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 50 copies have been documented.

50 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining50

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining43.4

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$136.67
Avg Sale Price
$60.00 - $250.00
Price Range
3
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Panini Prizm EPL Ollie Watkins Aston Villa Penmanship Gold /10 1st Print$250.005/3/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select PL Ollie Watkins Gold Field Level #206 /10 Aston Villa$60.005/3/2026View
2024 Panini Select Premier League; FL Gold Ice; Ollie Watkins /10; DGA 9.5$100.005/3/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,528 (70.6%)
BGS: 636 (29.4%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,528
Total Graded
351
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
580
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
351
23.0%
PSA 9
580
38.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
12.0%
PSA 7
152
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
18
1.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
636
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
163
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
163
25.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
258
40.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
92
14.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
69
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
35
5.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,088
$816-$1632
BGS 10
$544
$408-$680
BGS 9.5
$272
$204-$340
BGS 9
$163
$136-$204
BGS 8.5
$122
$95-$150
BGS 8
$95
$68-$122

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
546
Total Graded
81
SGC 10 (Pristine)
115
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
81(14.8%)
SGC 9.5
115(21.1%)
SGC 9
217(39.7%)
SGC 8.5
71(13%)
SGC 8
54(9.9%)
SGC 7-
8(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$167
Expected Value
$48 - $205
Value Range
+$68
Potential Gain
-$89
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$208
Expected Value
+$16
Expected Profit
+9%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$478
+$286
PSA 9
35%
$246
+$54
PSA 8
35%
$178
$-14
PSA 7
18%
$150
$-42
PSA 6
7%
$130
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 9%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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