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Bruno Fernandes card

Bruno Fernandes

#5 - Manchester United

2024-25 Prizm Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$3.00
Avg Sale Price
$3.00 - $3.00
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier League Red Mosaic Bruno Fernandes #129 Man United$3.005/5/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 530 (36.5%)
BGS: 923 (63.5%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
530
Total Graded
79
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
238
PSA 9 (Mint)
14.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
79
14.9%
PSA 9
238
44.9%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
63
11.9%
PSA 7
53
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
13
2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
923
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
207
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
21
2.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
207
22.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
326
35.3%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
113
12.2%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
100
10.8%
BGS 7.5-
150
16.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,096
$822-$1644
BGS 10
$548
$411-$685
BGS 9.5
$274
$206-$343
BGS 9
$164
$137-$206
BGS 8.5
$123
$96-$151
BGS 8
$96
$69-$123

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
403
Total Graded
54
SGC 10 (Pristine)
86
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
54(13.4%)
SGC 9.5
86(21.3%)
SGC 9
160(39.7%)
SGC 8.5
54(13.4%)
SGC 8
46(11.4%)
SGC 7-
3(0.7%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$4
Expected Value
$1 - $5
Value Range
+$2
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$4
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-93%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$11
$-47
PSA 9
35%
$5
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$4
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$3
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -93%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Bruno Fernandes PSA 10 population hit a new milestone (next 100 threshold) within 45 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in