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Declan Rice card

Declan Rice

#9 - Arsenal

2024-25 Prizm Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$5.82
Avg Sale Price
$1.79 - $15.77
Price Range
8
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Select Premier League Declan Rice Red Color Match #133$1.795/3/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League - Mezzanine Declan Rice #133 Red Ice Prizm$1.995/3/2026View
Declan Rice 2024-25 Panini Select Premier League Ice Cracked Prizm No. 133$4.005/3/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League - Field Level Declan Rice #205 Red Ice...$4.005/3/2026View
Declan Rice 2024-25 Panini Select Premier League Ice Cracked Prizm No. 133$6.005/3/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 530 (35.8%)
BGS: 951 (64.2%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
530
Total Graded
79
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
211
PSA 9 (Mint)
14.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
79
14.9%
PSA 9
211
39.8%
PSA 8.5
42
7.9%
PSA 8
63
11.9%
PSA 7
53
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
40
7.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
951
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
191
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.1%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
26
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
191
20.1%
BGS 9(Mint)
363
38.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
125
13.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
101
10.6%
BGS 7.5-
141
14.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,448
$1086-$2172
BGS 10
$724
$543-$905
BGS 9.5
$362
$272-$453
BGS 9
$217
$181-$272
BGS 8.5
$163
$127-$199
BGS 8
$127
$91-$163

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
465
Total Graded
63
SGC 10 (Pristine)
109
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
63(13.5%)
SGC 9.5
109(23.4%)
SGC 9
185(39.8%)
SGC 8.5
58(12.5%)
SGC 8
47(10.1%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$7
Expected Value
$2 - $9
Value Range
+$3
Potential Gain
-$4
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$9
Expected Value
$-52
Expected Profit
-85%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$20
$-41
PSA 9
35%
$10
$-51
PSA 8
35%
$8
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$6
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$6
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -85%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Declan Rice BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in