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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Prizm Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

LIVE
$34.00
Avg Sale Price
$34.00 - $34.00
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
Ollie Watkins 2024-25 Panini Prizm Premier EPL Red Prizm /199 NRMT+ Aston Villa$34.005/5/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,530 (60.8%)
BGS: 986 (39.2%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,530
Total Graded
229
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
688
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
229
15.0%
PSA 9
688
45.0%
PSA 8.5
122
8.0%
PSA 8
183
12.0%
PSA 7
153
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
33
2.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
986
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
233
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
21
2.1%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
233
23.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
371
37.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
124
12.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
109
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
122
12.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$688
$516-$1032
BGS 10
$344
$258-$430
BGS 9.5
$172
$129-$215
BGS 9
$103
$86-$129
BGS 8.5
$77
$60-$95
BGS 8
$60
$43-$77

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
496
Total Graded
65
SGC 10 (Pristine)
115
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
65(13.1%)
SGC 9.5
115(23.2%)
SGC 9
189(38.1%)
SGC 8.5
60(12.1%)
SGC 8
59(11.9%)
SGC 7-
8(1.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$42
Expected Value
$12 - $51
Value Range
+$17
Potential Gain
-$22
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$52
Expected Value
$-37
Expected Profit
-42%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$119
+$30
PSA 9
35%
$61
$-28
PSA 8
35%
$44
$-45
PSA 7
18%
$37
$-52
PSA 6
7%
$32
$-57
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -42%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

Will Ollie Watkins BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

0 voters0 PP wagered
50%
YES
50%
NO

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Ollie Watkins BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in

Partner Market Odds

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0%YES
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0%YES
10000%NO

Partner data from Polymarket & Kalshi. SlabdeX does not facilitate external trading.