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Bukayo Saka card

Bukayo Saka

#2 - Arsenal

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Gold /50 /50

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Gold /50
50
Total Print Run
0
Documented
50
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)50 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 50 copies have been documented.

50 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run50
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining50

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining43.4

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$419.99
Avg Sale Price
$419.99 - $419.99
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Select EPL Bukayo Saka Terrace Gold #9/10$419.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 539 (38.1%)
BGS: 877 (61.9%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
539
Total Graded
129
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
210
PSA 9 (Mint)
23.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
129
23.9%
PSA 9
210
39.0%
PSA 8.5
43
8.0%
PSA 8
64
11.9%
PSA 7
53
9.8%
PSA 6 & Below
-3
-0.6%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
877
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
202
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
22
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
202
23.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
343
39.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
122
13.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
89
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
93
10.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,432
$1074-$2148
BGS 10
$716
$537-$895
BGS 9.5
$358
$269-$448
BGS 9
$215
$179-$269
BGS 8.5
$161
$125-$197
BGS 8
$125
$90-$161

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
439
Total Graded
61
SGC 10 (Pristine)
106
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
61(13.9%)
SGC 9.5
106(24.1%)
SGC 9
167(38%)
SGC 8.5
56(12.8%)
SGC 8
44(10%)
SGC 7-
5(1.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$514
Expected Value
$147 - $630
Value Range
+$210
Potential Gain
-$273
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$640
Expected Value
+$165
Expected Profit
+35%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$1470
+$995
PSA 9
35%
$756
+$281
PSA 8
35%
$546
+$71
PSA 7
18%
$462
$-13
PSA 6
7%
$399
$-76
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 35%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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