Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Orange /25 /25

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Orange /25

Total Print Run

Documented

Still Available

0 seen (0.0%)25 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 25 copies have been documented.

25 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run25

Verified Sightings0

Publicly Remaining25

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%

P(Still Unpulled)100.0%

Expected Remaining21.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)

Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

LIVE

$3.63

Avg Sale Price

$2.79 - $4.59

Price Range

Recent Sales

Title	Price	Date	Link
2024-25 Select Soccer Ollie Watkins #206 Orange Ice Field Level /155	$2.79	3/15/2026	View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League Orange Ice - #206 Ollie Watkins #114/155	$4.59	3/15/2026	View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League Orange Ice - #206 Ollie Watkins #114/155	$3.50	3/15/2026	View

Grading Service Comparison

PSA

BGS

PSA: 1,540 (81.8%)

BGS: 343 (18.2%)

Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data

1,540

Total Graded

231

PSA 10 (Gem Mint)

539

PSA 9 (Mint)

15.0%

PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10

231

15.0%

PSA 9

539

35.0%

PSA 8.5

123

8.0%

PSA 8

184

11.9%

PSA 7

154

10.0%

PSA 6 & Below

186

12.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10

$175

PSA 9

$90

PSA 8

$60

PSA 7

$50

PSA 6

$40

Auth

$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data

343

Total Graded

BGS 10 (Black Label)

103

BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)

30.0%

BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)

0.3%

BGS 10(Pristine)

1.7%

BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)

103

30.0%

BGS 9(Mint)

133

38.8%

BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)

16.3%

BGS 8(NM-MT)

11.4%

BGS 7.5-

1.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL

$1,088

$816-$1632

BGS 10

$544

$408-$680

BGS 9.5

$272

$204-$340

BGS 9

$163

$136-$204

BGS 8.5

$122

$95-$150

BGS 8

$95

$68-$122

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data

249

Total Graded

SGC 10 (Pristine)

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

18%

SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10

45(18.1%)

SGC 9.5

55(22.1%)

SGC 9

87(34.9%)

SGC 8.5

35(14.1%)

SGC 8

24(9.6%)

SGC 7-

3(1.2%)

View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)

$484

$381 - $606

SGC 9.5 (Mint+)

$311

$242 - $381

SGC 9 (Mint)

$242

$190 - $294

SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)

$190

$156 - $225

SGC 8 (NM-MT)

$156

$121 - $190

SGC 7 (NM)

$121

$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator

Current Service

Current Grade

Target Service

Current Value ($)

BGS 9.5

PSA

Crossover Recommendation:Recommended

Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)

70%

Upgrade

PSA 9(Mint)

28%

Same Grade

PSA 8(NM-MT)

Downgrade

70%

Upgrade Rate

28%

Same Grade

Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

Expected Value

$1 - $5

Value Range

+$2

Potential Gain

-$2

Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.

Grading Cost Calculator

Raw Card Value ($)

Card Condition

Grading Service

Service Level

$55

Total Cost

Expected Value

$-53

Expected Profit

-90%

Expected ROI

Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22

Grading Fee

$15

Shipping To

$13

Shipping Back

Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10

$13

$-46

PSA 9

35%

$-52

PSA 8

35%

$-54

PSA 7

18%

$-55

PSA 6

$-56

Negative expected ROI of -90%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Ollie Watkins

Cards Remaining

Model A: Deterministic

Model B: Bayesian

Confidence Score

Market Sales Data

PSA Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

BGS Population Report

Grade Distribution

Estimated Graded Values

SGC Population Report

Grade Distribution

SGC Estimated Graded Values

Predicted Outcomes

Value Analysis

Cost Breakdown

Predicted Outcomes

Verified Sightings

SlabdeX Predictions

Partner Market Odds