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Kylian Mbappe card

Kylian Mbappe

#21 - Real Madrid

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Orange /25 /25

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Orange /25
25
Total Print Run
0
Documented
25
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)25 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 25 copies have been documented.

25 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run25
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining25

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining21.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$10.68
Avg Sale Price
$7.37 - $14.76
Price Range
12
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+56.2%
12 sales tracked
Jan 20Jan 23Jan 24Feb 1Feb 3Feb 12Feb 13Feb 14Feb 15Feb 22Feb 23Mar 4$6.631$9.631$15.499Avg: $11
$7
Low
$11
Average
$15
High
+5
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Kylian Mbappe Orange /25 BGS 9.5$12.643/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Kylian Mbappe Orange /25 BGS 9.5$10.392/23/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Kylian Mbappe Orange /25 SGC 10$12.722/22/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Kylian Mbappe Orange /25 BGS 9.5$12.052/15/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Kylian Mbappe Orange /25 PSA 9$7.442/14/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 540 (59.8%)
BGS: 363 (40.2%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
540
Total Graded
81
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
189
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
81
15.0%
PSA 9
189
35.0%
PSA 8.5
43
8.0%
PSA 8
64
11.9%
PSA 7
54
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
66
12.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
363
Total Graded
1
BGS 10 (Black Label)
78
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
1
0.3%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
3.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
78
21.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
161
44.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
59
16.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
47
12.9%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.4%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,352
$1014-$2028
BGS 10
$676
$507-$845
BGS 9.5
$338
$254-$423
BGS 9
$203
$169-$254
BGS 8.5
$152
$118-$186
BGS 8
$118
$85-$152

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
318
Total Graded
42
SGC 10 (Pristine)
64
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
42(13.2%)
SGC 9.5
64(20.1%)
SGC 9
131(41.2%)
SGC 8.5
42(13.2%)
SGC 8
36(11.3%)
SGC 7-
3(0.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$230
$180 - $287
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$148
$115 - $180
SGC 9 (Mint)
$115
$90 - $139
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$90
$74 - $107
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$74
$57 - $90
SGC 7 (NM)
$57
$41 - $74

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$13
Expected Value
$4 - $16
Value Range
+$5
Potential Gain
-$7
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$16
Expected Value
$-50
Expected Profit
-76%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$37
$-29
PSA 9
35%
$19
$-47
PSA 8
35%
$14
$-52
PSA 7
18%
$12
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$10
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -76%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Kylian Mbappe BGS 9.5 to PSA 10 crossover success rate exceed 40%?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in