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Bruno Fernandes card

Bruno Fernandes

#5 - Manchester United

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$8.66
Avg Sale Price
$2.66 - $30.00
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League #196 Bruno Fernandes Red Ice$2.663/15/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League #196 Bruno Fernandes Red Ice$2.753/15/2026View
2024-25 Select Premier League Field Level Red Ice Prizm Bruno Fernandes #231$3.003/15/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League - Mezzanine Bruno Fernandes #196 Red Prizm$2.993/15/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League #196 Bruno Fernandes Red$6.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,541 (77.5%)
BGS: 448 (22.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,541
Total Graded
246
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
708
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
246
16.0%
PSA 9
708
45.9%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
184
11.9%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
3
0.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
448
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
137
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
30.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
1.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
137
30.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
164
36.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
61
13.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
57
12.7%
BGS 7.5-
18
4.0%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,296
$972-$1944
BGS 10
$648
$486-$810
BGS 9.5
$324
$243-$405
BGS 9
$194
$162-$243
BGS 8.5
$146
$113-$178
BGS 8
$113
$81-$146

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
422
Total Graded
62
SGC 10 (Pristine)
86
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
62(14.7%)
SGC 9.5
86(20.4%)
SGC 9
149(35.3%)
SGC 8.5
52(12.3%)
SGC 8
50(11.8%)
SGC 7-
23(5.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$11
Expected Value
$3 - $13
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$6
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$13
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-80%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$30
$-34
PSA 9
35%
$16
$-48
PSA 8
35%
$11
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$10
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$8
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -80%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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