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Declan Rice card

Declan Rice

#9 - Arsenal

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$2.49
Avg Sale Price
$2.49 - $2.49
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League - Field Level Declan Rice #205 Red Prizm$2.493/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,541 (76.4%)
BGS: 476 (23.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,541
Total Graded
246
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
631
PSA 9 (Mint)
16.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
246
16.0%
PSA 9
631
40.9%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
184
11.9%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
80
5.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
476
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
121
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
25.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
13
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
121
25.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
202
42.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
73
15.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
58
12.2%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.1%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$448
$336-$672
BGS 10
$224
$168-$280
BGS 9.5
$112
$84-$140
BGS 9
$67
$56-$84
BGS 8.5
$50
$39-$62
BGS 8
$39
$28-$50

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
466
Total Graded
71
SGC 10 (Pristine)
109
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
71(15.2%)
SGC 9.5
109(23.4%)
SGC 9
174(37.3%)
SGC 8.5
56(12%)
SGC 8
50(10.7%)
SGC 7-
6(1.3%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$3
Expected Value
$1 - $4
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$2
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$4
Expected Value
$-53
Expected Profit
-93%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$9
$-48
PSA 9
35%
$4
$-53
PSA 8
35%
$3
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$3
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$2
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -93%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the total graded population of Declan Rice exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in