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Phil Foden card

Phil Foden

#10 - Manchester City

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Red /10 /10

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Red /10
10
Total Print Run
0
Documented
10
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)10 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 10 copies have been documented.

10 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run10
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining10

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)100.0%
Expected Remaining8.8

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$1.24
Avg Sale Price
$0.99 - $1.49
Price Range
2
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Panini Select Premier League - Field Level Phil Foden #226 Red Ice Prizm$0.993/15/2026View
2024-25 Panini Select - Phil Foden #226 Red Ice Prizm / Manchester City$1.493/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 541 (52.8%)
BGS: 483 (47.2%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
541
Total Graded
86
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
194
PSA 9 (Mint)
15.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
86
15.9%
PSA 9
194
35.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.9%
PSA 8
64
11.8%
PSA 7
54
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
57
10.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
483
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
129
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
12
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
129
26.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
172
35.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
60
12.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
51
10.6%
BGS 7.5-
57
11.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$536
$402-$804
BGS 10
$268
$201-$335
BGS 9.5
$134
$101-$168
BGS 9
$80
$67-$101
BGS 8.5
$60
$47-$74
BGS 8
$47
$34-$60

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
496
Total Graded
64
SGC 10 (Pristine)
122
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
64(12.9%)
SGC 9.5
122(24.6%)
SGC 9
188(37.9%)
SGC 8.5
69(13.9%)
SGC 8
50(10.1%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$157
$123 - $196
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$101
$78 - $123
SGC 9 (Mint)
$78
$62 - $95
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$62
$50 - $73
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$50
$39 - $62
SGC 7 (NM)
$39
$28 - $50

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$2
Expected Value
$0 - $2
Value Range
+$1
Potential Gain
-$1
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$2
Expected Value
$-54
Expected Profit
-96%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$4
$-52
PSA 9
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 8
35%
$2
$-54
PSA 7
18%
$1
$-55
PSA 6
7%
$1
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -96%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the total graded population of Phil Foden exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in