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Kevin De Bruyne card

Kevin De Bruyne

#8 - Manchester City

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Black /1 /1

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Black /1
1
Total Print Run
0
Documented
1
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)1 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 1 copies have been documented.

1 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run1
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining1

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)88.3%
Expected Remaining0.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$14.99
Avg Sale Price
$14.99 - $14.99
Price Range
1
Recent Sales
TitlePriceDateLink
2024-25 Topps Inception UCC Kevin de Bruyne Star Quality Black 180/199 ZD5840$14.993/15/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,542 (70.5%)
BGS: 644 (29.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,542
Total Graded
262
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
647
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
262
17.0%
PSA 9
647
42.0%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
48
3.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
644
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
172
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
26.7%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
16
2.5%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
172
26.7%
BGS 9(Mint)
229
35.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
81
12.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
78
12.1%
BGS 7.5-
63
9.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,360
$1020-$2040
BGS 10
$680
$510-$850
BGS 9.5
$340
$255-$425
BGS 9
$204
$170-$255
BGS 8.5
$153
$119-$187
BGS 8
$119
$85-$153

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
730
Total Graded
87
SGC 10 (Pristine)
156
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
87(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
156(21.4%)
SGC 9
285(39%)
SGC 8.5
97(13.3%)
SGC 8
77(10.5%)
SGC 7-
28(3.8%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$18
Expected Value
$5 - $22
Value Range
+$7
Potential Gain
-$10
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$23
Expected Value
$-47
Expected Profit
-67%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$52
$-18
PSA 9
35%
$27
$-43
PSA 8
35%
$19
$-51
PSA 7
18%
$16
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$14
$-56

Negative expected ROI of -67%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

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